fix: header "Next update" uses second Tuesday (closes #12)

The topbar showed the first Tuesday of the *next* month instead of
PDGA's actual cycle (second Tuesday of the month). Replace the
duplicated computeNextUpdate() with the central
getNextPDGAUpdateDate() from rating-calculator, keeping only the
formatter ("Tue 9 Jun") here.

.gitea/workflows/docker-build.yml

@@ -18,7 +18,7 @@ jobs:
         with:
           registry: gitea.shcizo.se
           username: ${{ gitea.actor }}
-          password: ${{ secrets.GITHUB_TOKEN }}
+          password: ${{ secrets.PACKAGES_TOKEN }}
 
       - uses: docker/metadata-action@v5
         id: meta

CLAUDE.md

@@ -4,13 +4,14 @@ PDGA rating scraper and display app. Scrapes player ratings and course data from
 
 ## Tech Stack
 
-- **Runtime:** Node.js 18 (Alpine in Docker)
+- **Runtime:** Node.js 22 (slim/Debian-based in Docker)
+- **Hosting:** Gitea (`gitea.shcizo.se/shcizo/pdga-rating`) — use `tea` CLI for issues/PRs, not `gh`
 - **Server:** Express with EJS templates
 - **Database:** SQLite3 (file: `ratings.db`, Docker: `/app/data/ratings.db`)
 - **Frontend:** HTMX + vanilla JS (in `public/js/`)
 - **Scraping:** Puppeteer (with stealth plugin) + direct HTTP
 - **Logging:** Pino (JSON in production, pino-pretty in dev)
-- **CI/CD:** Release Please + Docker build/push to GHCR
+- **CI/CD:** Gitea Actions (tag-triggered docker build/push to `gitea.shcizo.se/shcizo/pdga-rating`)
 
 ## Project Structure
 
@@ -38,15 +39,25 @@ public/
 - `LOG_LEVEL=debug npm start` — Enable debug logging
 - `docker compose up` — Run via Docker
 
+**No test framework or lint setup** — `package.json` has only `start` and `dev` scripts. If adding either, document it here.
+
 ## Conventions
 
 - **Logging:** Use `require('./logger')` (or relative path). Never use `console.log/error` in backend code. Use appropriate Pino levels: `debug` for verbose/diagnostic data, `info` for operational status, `warn` for retries/degraded state, `error` for failures, `fatal` for startup crashes.
 - **Frontend JS:** `console.error` is fine in `public/js/` — runs in browser, no Pino.
-- **Commits:** Conventional commits (`feat:`, `fix:`, `refactor:`, `chore:`) — drives release-please.
+- **Commits:** Conventional commits (`feat:`, `fix:`, `refactor:`, `chore:`, `ci:`).
+- **Releases:** Manual version bump — edit `version` in `package.json` + `package-lock.json`, commit as `<version>`, tag `v<version>`, push commit + tag (`git push origin main v<version>`). Triggers `.gitea/workflows/docker-build.yml` which builds and pushes the image. Auth uses repo secret `PACKAGES_TOKEN` (PAT with `write:package`) — the auto-injected `GITEA_TOKEN` does not have effective registry access.
 - **Scraping:** Two strategies per entity: direct HTTP (fast, preferred) with Puppeteer fallback (stealth plugin for anti-bot). Rate limiting must be respected.
 - **Database:** Migrations run automatically on startup in `db.js`. Schema changes go there.
 - **Templates:** EJS with shared layout in `views/partials/`. Pages use HTMX for dynamic content loading.
 
+## PDGA Domain Notes
+
+- **Rating publication cycle:** PDGA officially recalculates ratings on the **second Tuesday of each month**. `getNextPDGAUpdateDate()` in `src/services/rating-calculator.js` computes this — round filtering uses it as cutoff.
+- **Predicted rating algorithm:** `calculatePredictedRating(roundRatings)` replicates PDGA's formula — 12-mo window (expands to 24 if <8 rounds), outlier removal at ≥7 rounds (2.5σ + 100pt threshold), double-weighting of recent 25% at ≥9 rounds. Returns `{rating, stdDev, debugLog}`.
+- **Rate limits:** `POST /api/refresh-round-history/:pdgaNumber` enforces a 24h cooldown per player (`src/routes/players.js`). Don't bypass — PDGA's site rate-limits aggressively.
+- **Round history refresh** uses Puppeteer (stealth plugin), other scraping prefers direct HTTP. Predicted rating is recomputed and stored on each refresh.
+
 ## Environment Variables
 
 | Variable | Default | Description |

package-lock.json

@@ -1,12 +1,12 @@
 {
   "name": "pdga-ratings",
-  "version": "1.2.1",
+  "version": "1.2.3",
   "lockfileVersion": 3,
   "requires": true,
   "packages": {
     "": {
       "name": "pdga-ratings",
-      "version": "1.2.1",
+      "version": "1.2.3",
       "dependencies": {
         "ejs": "^4.0.1",
         "express": "^4.18.2",

package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "pdga-ratings",
-  "version": "1.2.1",
+  "version": "1.2.3",
   "description": "PDGA rating scraper and display",
   "main": "server.js",
   "scripts": {

src/services/topbar-service.js

@@ -1,6 +1,10 @@
 const { getLastRefresh } = require('../models/player');
+const { getNextPDGAUpdateDate } = require('./rating-calculator');
 const logger = require('../logger');
 
+const DAY_NAMES = ['Sun', 'Mon', 'Tue', 'Wed', 'Thu', 'Fri', 'Sat'];
+const MONTH_NAMES = ['Jan', 'Feb', 'Mar', 'Apr', 'May', 'Jun', 'Jul', 'Aug', 'Sep', 'Oct', 'Nov', 'Dec'];
+
 function formatRelative(isoString) {
   if (!isoString) return 'Never';
   const then = new Date(isoString.replace(' ', 'T') + (isoString.endsWith('Z') ? '' : 'Z'));
@@ -18,25 +22,18 @@ function formatRelative(isoString) {
   return then.toISOString().slice(0, 10);
 }
 
-// First Tuesday of next month — approximation of PDGA's monthly cycle
-function computeNextUpdate(now = new Date()) {
-  const year = now.getUTCFullYear();
-  const month = now.getUTCMonth() + 1; // next month, may roll over
-  const candidate = new Date(Date.UTC(month === 12 ? year + 1 : year, month === 12 ? 0 : month, 1));
-  // 0=Sun, 1=Mon, 2=Tue
-  const offset = (2 - candidate.getUTCDay() + 7) % 7;
-  candidate.setUTCDate(1 + offset);
-  const months = ['Jan', 'Feb', 'Mar', 'Apr', 'May', 'Jun', 'Jul', 'Aug', 'Sep', 'Oct', 'Nov', 'Dec'];
-  return `${['Sun', 'Mon', 'Tue', 'Wed', 'Thu', 'Fri', 'Sat'][candidate.getUTCDay()]} ${candidate.getUTCDate()} ${months[candidate.getUTCMonth()]}`;
+function formatNextUpdate(date) {
+  return `${DAY_NAMES[date.getDay()]} ${date.getDate()} ${MONTH_NAMES[date.getMonth()]}`;
 }
 
 async function getTopbarLocals() {
+  const nextUpdate = formatNextUpdate(getNextPDGAUpdateDate());
   try {
     const lastIso = await getLastRefresh();
-    return { lastRefresh: formatRelative(lastIso), nextUpdate: computeNextUpdate() };
+    return { lastRefresh: formatRelative(lastIso), nextUpdate };
   } catch (err) {
     logger.warn({ err }, 'topbar locals fallback');
-    return { lastRefresh: 'Unknown', nextUpdate: computeNextUpdate() };
+    return { lastRefresh: 'Unknown', nextUpdate };
   }
 }