fix: invalidate stale predicted_rating after PDGA cycle rollover (#29)

src/services/player-service.js

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 const { db } = require('../db');
 const { getPlayerFromDB, getRoundHistoryFromDB, savePredictedRatingToDB, savePlayerToDB, getMonthlyHistory, getAllMonthlyHistoriesFromDB, getAllRatingHistoriesFromDB } = require('../models/player');
 const { fetchPlayerDataHTTP, parsePlayerData } = require('../scrapers/player-http');
-const { calculatePredictedRating } = require('./rating-calculator');
+const { calculatePredictedRating, getPreviousPDGAUpdateDate } = require('./rating-calculator');
 const logger = require('../logger');
 
 function formatDisplayDate(dateStr) {
@@ -50,6 +50,25 @@ async function getPlayerDataFromDB(pdgaNumber, { includeMonthlyHistory = true }
         cutoffRating = updatedPlayer?.cutoff_rating;
       }
 
+      // Staleness-check: invalidate cached predicted_rating if the PDGA cycle has
+      // rolled over since it was calculated. Don't recompute — round_history may be
+      // equally stale. UI will show "—" until the next manual refresh.
+      const predictedCalculatedAt = cachedPlayer.predicted_calculated_at
+        ? new Date(cachedPlayer.predicted_calculated_at)
+        : null;
+      const previousUpdate = getPreviousPDGAUpdateDate();
+      const hasPredicted = predictedRating !== null && predictedRating !== 0;
+      const isStale = hasPredicted && (
+        predictedCalculatedAt === null || predictedCalculatedAt < previousUpdate
+      );
+      if (isStale) {
+        logger.debug(`PDGA ${pdgaNumber}: predicted rating stale (calculated ${predictedCalculatedAt?.toISOString() ?? 'unknown'}, cycle rolled ${previousUpdate.toISOString()})`);
+        predictedRating = null;
+        stdDev = null;
+        excludedRoundsCount = null;
+        cutoffRating = null;
+      }
+
       const rating = cachedPlayer.current_rating;
       const rawRatingChange = cachedPlayer.rating_change;
       const resolvedPredicted = predictedRating > 0 ? predictedRating : null;